๐ Popular Props
๐ Kenneth Walker ATTD
Heavy favorite at -185, 72% historical hit rate
๐ข DK Metcalf ATTD
Big play threat at -120, could break one
๐ช Coin Toss Heads
True 50/50 at -105 (slight house edge)
๐ค Anthem Over 120.5 sec
Star performers tend to go long
๐ฆ Patriots Moneyline
Underdog upset at +115
๐ Geno Smith MVP
QB favorite at +200
๐ Gatorade Color Orange
Long shot novelty prop at +300
๐ Over 47.5 Points
Game total - both offenses clicking
๐ Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
| Prop | Odds | Implied % | $100 Pays | Trending |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III ATTD | -185 | 64.9% | $154.05 | ๐ |
| DK Metcalf ATTD | -120 | 54.5% | $183.33 | โก๏ธ |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba ATTD | -105 | 51.2% | $195.24 | ๐ |
| Tyler Lockett ATTD | +115 | 46.5% | $215.00 | โก๏ธ |
| Rhamondre Stevenson ATTD | +125 | 44.4% | $225.00 | โก๏ธ |
| Hunter Henry ATTD | +220 | 31.3% | $320.00 | ๐ |
| Stefon Diggs ATTD | +230 | 30.3% | $330.00 | ๐ |
| Cooper Kupp ATTD | +140 | 41.7% | $240.00 | ๐ |
| Geno Smith ATTD | +550 | 15.4% | $650.00 | โก๏ธ |
| Drake Maye ATTD | +650 | 13.3% | $750.00 | โก๏ธ |
Click any row to load those odds
ANALYSIS RESULTS
Calculation summary
Profit: $27.03
Est: 65.0%
Edge: 0.1%
Kelly: $0.31
Your Estimate vs Implied Prob
Stake vs Potential Profit
Risk vs Safe
Bankroll Risk Assessment
๐ก Recommendations
โ Positive EV bet! Expected +$0.07 per bet
Edge: 0.1% over implied probability
Always shop lines across multiple sportsbooks
Track your bets to improve probability estimates
๐ฏ Prop-Specific Strategies
ATTD favorites tend to hit ~70% in Super Bowls
Consider parlaying with other ATTD favorites
๐ Calculations
Prop: Kenneth Walker III ATTD
Bet Amount: $50.00
American Odds: -185
๐ STEP 1: Convert Odds to Decimal
Decimal = (100 / 185) + 1 = 1.541
๐ฐ STEP 2: Calculate Potential Payout
Payout = $50.00 ร 1.541
Potential Payout: $77.03
Potential Profit: $27.03
๐ STEP 3: Calculate Implied Probability
Implied = 185 / (185 + 100) = 64.9%
๐ฏ STEP 4: Calculate Expected Value (EV)
Your estimated probability: 65.0%
EV = (65.0% ร $27.03) - (35.0% ร $50.00)
Expected Value: $0.07 (0.1%)
Edge: 0.1%
๐ฒ STEP 5: Risk Assessment
Risk Rating: Low
Kelly Recommended: $0.31
Max Recommended (moderate): $25.00
๐ Official Data Sources
Disclaimer
This calculator provides mathematical prop bet calculations for educational purposes. Super Bowl prop bet odds change constantly and vary by sportsbook. Sports betting is not legal in all states. Always verify current odds with licensed sportsbooks. Prop bets, especially novelty props, often carry higher house edges. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly and within your means. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Potential Payout
A $50.00 bet at -185 pays $77.03 ($27.03 profit). Implied probability: 64.9%. โ +EV bet! Expected value: $0.07
For educational and informational purposes only. Verify with a qualified professional.
๐ Key Takeaways
- โข Prop types โ Player props (ATTD, yards), game props (total, spread), novelty props (coin toss, anthem length). Each has different probability profiles
- โข Implied probabilities โ Convert odds to probability. -110 = 52.4%, +200 = 33.3%. Compare to your true probability estimate to find edge
- โข Hedging strategies โ Combine props to reduce risk. Bet opposing sides, use correlated props, or hedge with game outcome bets
- โข Responsible gambling โ Never bet more than you can afford. Set limits, use bankroll management, and seek help if needed (1-800-GAMBLER)
๐ก Did You Know?
$1B+ handle โ Super Bowl LX expected to generate $1B+ in prop bet handle
400+ markets โ Sportsbooks offer 400+ prop bet markets for Super Bowl
-110 juice โ Standard prop odds typically -110 (4.8% vig)
60% player props โ Player props (ATTD, yards) account for 60% of Super Bowl prop handle
Novelty props โ Anthem length, coin toss, Gatorade color props attract casual bettors but carry higher vig
Same-game parlays โ Growing trend: combine multiple props from same game for higher payouts (but lower probability)
๐ฏ Expert Tips
Stick to Player Props with Edge
Player props (ATTD, yards) offer better value than game props. Research player matchups, recent form, and injury reports to find edges.
Avoid Novelty Bets
Novelty props (coin toss, anthem length, Gatorade color) carry higher house edges (~10%+ vig). Bet small amounts for entertainment only.
Compare Across Books
Shop prop odds at multiple sportsbooks. Line shopping can improve EV by 2-5% on props. Use multiple accounts to find best lines.
Set Strict Budget
Never bet more than 1-5% of bankroll per prop. Use Kelly Criterion for optimal sizing. Set daily/weekly limits and stick to them.
๐ Comparison Table
| Platform | Best For | Prop Markets | EV Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | Mainstream betting, promotions | 300+ markets | No โ Odds only |
| DraftKings | Player props, same-game parlays | 400+ markets | Limited โ Basic tools |
| Manual Calculation | Pen & paper, spreadsheet | Any prop | Yes โ But time-consuming, error-prone |
| This Calculator | Complete analysis, EV, bankroll | All prop types | Yes โ Full EV + Kelly sizing |
๐ Infographic Stats
Super Bowl LX - February 9, 2026
Seattle Seahawks
NFC Champions
-2.5 / -135
Spread / Moneyline
New England Patriots
AFC Champions
+2.5 / +115
Spread / Moneyline
๐ Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
6:30 PM ET on NBC | Total: 47.5
Prop Betting Guide
Anytime TD
Player scores at any point. Most popular prop type. RBs hit ~70% historically.
Player Props
Over/under on yards, receptions, completions. Research recent performance.
Novelty Props
Anthem length, coin toss, Gatorade color. Fun but high vig - bet small.
๐ How to Use This Calculator
- Select Prop Type: Choose between ATTD, First TD, Over/Under, or novelty bets
- Enter Bet Amount: Your wager amount in dollars
- Input American Odds: The odds from your sportsbook (e.g., +150, -110)
- Add Your Probability: Your estimated chance the bet hits (optional)
- Calculate Results: View potential payout, EV, and Kelly stake
- Use AI Analysis: Get personalized betting insights
FAQ
Q: What is Expected Value (EV)?
A: EV is your expected profit/loss per bet over time. Positive EV means the bet is profitable long-term. It's calculated as (WinProb ร Profit) - (LoseProb ร Stake).
Q: What is implied probability?
A: The probability the sportsbook's odds suggest. If implied is 60% but you think true probability is 70%, you have a +EV bet with 10% edge.
Q: What is Kelly Criterion?
A: A formula to calculate optimal bet size based on edge and odds. We recommend "Quarter Kelly" (25% of full Kelly) for safety.
Q: How do ATTD props work?
A: "Anytime Touchdown Scorer" means the player scores at any point during the game. It doesn't matter if it's their first or fourth TD - you win if they score at least once.
Q: What's the difference between ATTD and First TD?
A: ATTD wins if the player scores any TD. First TD only wins if they score the FIRST touchdown of the game. First TD pays more (usually +500 to +1500) but hits less often.
Q: Are novelty props worth betting?
A: Novelty props (coin toss, anthem length, Gatorade color) are fun but often have higher house edges (~10%+ vig). Bet small amounts for entertainment only.
Super Bowl Prop Betting Trends
๐ Touchdown Props
- โข RB ATTD favorites hit ~70% of the time
- โข WR1s hit ATTD at ~60% rate
- โข TEs are undervalued in Super Bowls
- โข First TD scorers are high variance
- โข Average Super Bowl has 6-7 total TDs
๐ Game Totals
- โข OVER has hit 6 of last 10 Super Bowls
- โข Average total points: 51.2 (last 10)
- โข Favorites cover ~55% historically
- โข Underdogs win outright ~45%
- โข OT occurs ~8% of Super Bowls
๐ค Anthem Trends
- โข OVER 120.5 sec has hit 6 of last 10
- โข Average anthem: 122 seconds
- โข Pop stars tend to go longer
- โข Country artists usually faster
- โข Longest ever: 155 sec (2018)
๐ฅค Gatorade Bath
- โข Orange: 5 times in last 20 years
- โข Blue: 4 times (clear is common)
- โข Yellow: 3 times
- โข Clear/Water: Popular recently
- โข Team colors sometimes correlate
Key Players to Watch
Seattle Seahawks Offense
Geno Smith - QB - 4,200 yards, 28 TDs this season
Kenneth Walker III - RB - 1,200 rush yards, 13 TDs
DK Metcalf - WR - 1,100 rec yards, 8 TDs
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - WR - 950 rec yards, 6 TDs
Tyler Lockett - WR - Veteran deep threat
New England Patriots Offense
Drake Maye - QB - Rookie sensation, 3,500 yards
Rhamondre Stevenson - RB - Workhorse back
Hunter Henry - TE - Red zone specialist
Jakobi Meyers - WR - Possession receiver
Defensive Line - Top 5 pass rush
Bankroll Management Tips
1-2%
Conservative Bet Size
Best for casual bettors
3-5%
Moderate Bet Size
For experienced bettors
5-10%
Aggressive Bet Size
High risk tolerance only
โข Set a budget: Decide your total Super Bowl betting bankroll before the game
โข Unit size: Keep individual bets at 1-5% of your total bankroll
โข Diversify: Don't put all your eggs in one basket - spread bets across multiple props
โข Track everything: Record all bets to improve future probability estimates
โข No chasing: Don't increase bet size to recover losses
Line Shopping - Best Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Welcome Bonus | Prop Variety | Live Betting |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | $1,000 | โญโญโญโญโญ | โญโญโญโญโญ |
| FanDuel | $1,000 | โญโญโญโญโญ | โญโญโญโญโญ |
| BetMGM | $1,500 | โญโญโญโญ | โญโญโญโญ |
| Caesars | $1,000 | โญโญโญโญ | โญโญโญโญ |
* Sign up at multiple books to compare lines and find the best odds for each prop
Common Prop Betting Mistakes
โ Avoid These
- โข Betting novelty props with your whole bankroll
- โข Ignoring the vig on -105 and -110 lines
- โข Not shopping lines across sportsbooks
- โข Chasing losses with bigger bets
- โข Betting on props you don't understand
- โข Overconfidence in "sure thing" props
โ Best Practices
- โข Calculate EV before every bet
- โข Use consistent unit sizing
- โข Track all bets in a spreadsheet
- โข Focus on props you have edge on
- โข Consider correlation in parlays
- โข Take breaks and bet sober
Super Bowl LX Betting Preview
๐
Date: February 9, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET
๐ Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
๐บ Broadcast: NBC
Seahawks Analysis: Seattle comes in as 2.5-point favorites with a balanced offensive attack. Kenneth Walker III has been dominant in the ground game, while Geno Smith has had a career year. DK Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba give them two elite receiving threats.
Patriots Analysis: New England's resurgent season has been led by rookie QB Drake Maye. Their defense is top 5 in pass rush and could disrupt Seattle's timing. The Patriots have championship pedigree and won't be intimidated.
Key Matchup: Seattle's offensive line vs New England's pass rush. If Geno Smith has time, Seattle's receivers should feast. If the Patriots generate pressure, it could be a low-scoring affair.
Weather: Indoor stadium, perfect conditions. No weather factors.
Betting Handle: Expected to surpass $1 billion in legal bets, with prop bets accounting for approximately 60% of all Super Bowl wagers.
Understanding Odds Formats
| American | Decimal | Implied Prob | $100 Pays |
|---|---|---|---|
| -300 | 1.33 | 75.0% | $133 |
| -200 | 1.50 | 66.7% | $150 |
| -150 | 1.67 | 60.0% | $167 |
| -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | $191 |
| +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | $200 |
| +150 | 2.50 | 40.0% | $250 |
| +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | $300 |
| +500 | 6.00 | 16.7% | $600 |
| +1000 | 11.00 | 9.1% | $1,100 |
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