HOTFidelity, CMSMarch 2026๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USRetirement
๐Ÿ“Š

The $100K Healthcare Gap: Are You Saving Enough?

Many retirees discover too late that their HSA and savings fall short of healthcare costs. This calculator shows the gap and how much more to save.

Concept Fundamentals
$315K
Avg Couple Need
Fidelity
7%/yr
HSA Growth
Typical
65
Medicare Age
Eligibility
18-36 mo
COBRA Max
Bridge

Ready to run the numbers?

Why: Healthcare is a major retirement expense. Knowing the gap between your HSA and projected costs helps you save enough.

How: We project your HSA balance at retirement (7% growth), estimate healthcare costs (from our calculator or your input), and calculate the gap and additional savings needed.

HSA balance at retirementHealthcare cost estimate

Run the calculator when you are ready.

Calculate Your Healthcare GapSee how much more you need to save

๐Ÿ“‹ Quick Examples โ€” Click to Load

Your Information

From Healthcare Cost calculator or manual
Healthcare Gap
$0
Additional savings needed/year: $0
HSA at retirement: $260,724
HSA at Retirement
$260,724
Costs 65+
$157,500
Pre-65 Costs
$0
Gap % of Savings
0.0%

Charts

HSA Balance vs Healthcare Costs Over Time

Gap Widening with Age

Coverage Sources

Gap by Retirement Age

For educational and informational purposes only. Verify with a qualified professional.

The retirement healthcare gap is the difference between your projected healthcare costs and what you have saved (e.g., in an HSA). Fidelity estimates a couple needs ~$315K for healthcare in retirement. HSAs grow tax-free at ~7%/yr when invested. If you retire before 65, you need gap coverage (COBRA, ACA, or employer retiree health). Closing the gap requires additional savings or better coverage.

$315K
Couple healthcare need
7%
HSA growth assumption
65
Medicare eligibility
18โ€“36 mo
COBRA max duration

Sources: Fidelity, CMS, IRS Publication 969.

Key Takeaways

  • โ€ข The gap = projected healthcare costs minus HSA (or healthcare savings) at retirement
  • โ€ข Retiring before 65 creates a pre-Medicare gap; COBRA or ACA can bridge it
  • โ€ข HSA funds can pay Medicare premiums and qualified medical expenses tax-free
  • โ€ข Use the Healthcare Cost calculator first to estimate your retirement healthcare needs

Did You Know?

๐Ÿ”ข $50K in HSA at 7% for 20 years becomes ~$193K (IRS HSA rules)
๐Ÿ“Š ACA marketplace premiums can exceed $1,200/mo for early retirees
๐Ÿ’ก You cannot contribute to HSA once on Medicare, but existing funds remain usable
๐ŸŒ Employer retiree health can eliminate pre-65 gap entirely
๐Ÿ“ˆ COBRA typically costs full premium + 2% admin fee
๐ŸŽฏ Gap as % of retirement savings helps prioritize healthcare-specific savings

How Does the Healthcare Gap Work?

HSA Projection

We project your HSA balance at retirement using 7% annual growth plus your contributions. HSAs are triple tax-advantaged.

Pre-65 vs 65+

If you retire before 65, you need ACA, COBRA, or employer coverage. At 65+, Medicare + supplements apply. Costs differ by phase.

Closing the Gap

Additional savings per year = gap รท years to retirement. Increase HSA contributions or invest more to close it.

Expert Tips

Max your HSA contributions and invest the balance โ€” don\'t leave it in cash. Growth compounds over decades.
If retiring before 65, model COBRA (18 mo) + ACA until Medicare. Budget $1,000โ€“2,000/mo for coverage.
Use the Healthcare Cost calculator to get a personalized estimate, then plug it into this gap calculator.
Age 55+ catch-up: add $1,000 to HSA limits. Every extra dollar helps close the gap.

Pre-65 Coverage Options

OptionDurationTypical Cost
COBRA18โ€“36 mo$800โ€“1,500/mo
ACA MarketplaceUntil 65$500โ€“2,000/mo
Employer RetireeUntil 65Varies

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the retirement healthcare gap?

The gap is the difference between your projected healthcare costs in retirement and the amount you have saved (e.g., in an HSA) or covered by insurance. Closing the gap requires additional savings or coverage.

How much should I have in my HSA for retirement?

Fidelity estimates a couple needs ~$315K for healthcare in retirement. If you have an HSA, aim to grow it to cover a significant portion. Many advisors suggest $100K+ by retirement for healthcare.

What if I retire before 65?

If you retire before Medicare eligibility at 65, you need gap coverage: COBRA (typically 18 months), ACA marketplace plans, or employer retiree health. Costs can be $500-$2,000+/month depending on age and plan.

Does COBRA count toward Medicare?

COBRA provides temporary continuation of employer coverage. It does not extend beyond 18-36 months. You must enroll in Medicare at 65; COBRA typically ends when Medicare begins.

How does the HSA growth rate affect my balance?

HSAs can be invested. A 7% annual return is a common assumption. Over 20 years, $50K growing at 7% becomes ~$193K. Start early and invest for long-term growth.

What is the gap as a percentage of retirement savings?

If your total retirement savings is $1M and your healthcare gap is $100K, that's 10%. Knowing this helps you prioritize HSA contributions and healthcare-specific savings.

Key Statistics

$315K
Couple healthcare (Fidelity)
7%
HSA growth assumption
$4,150
HSA limit 2025 (individual)
65
Medicare eligibility age

Official Data Sources

โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This calculator is for educational purposes only. HSA growth (7%) and healthcare cost estimates are illustrative. Your actual returns and costs will vary. Consult a financial advisor and use official Medicare/ACA resources for personalized planning. Not financial advice.

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