Dice Probability Calculator
Free dice probability calculator. Exact P(sum), P(sum≥k), P(sum≤k), P(a≤sum≤b). 2d6, 3d6, 4d6 drop l
Why This Statistical Analysis Matters
Why: Statistical calculator for analysis.
How: Enter inputs and compute results.
Exact Sum Probabilities for Any Dice Combination
P(exact sum), P(sum≥k), P(sum≤k), P(a≤sum≤b). 2d6, 3d6, 4d6 drop lowest, d20. PMF bar chart, CDF, odds for/against.
Real-World Scenarios — Click to Load
Dice Configuration
Calculation Mode
Target
Full PMF Bar Chart
Cumulative Distribution (CDF)
Calculation Breakdown
For educational and informational purposes only. Verify with a qualified professional.
Key Takeaways
- • P(2d6 = 7) = 6/36 = 1/6 ≈ 16.67% — 7 is the most likely sum for two dice
- • More dice = more bell-shaped distribution (Central Limit Theorem)
- • P(at least one 6 on 2d6) = 11/36 ≈ 30.6% — NOT 1/3
- • The number of outcomes for n dice with f faces = f^n (grows exponentially)
- • Dice probabilities are symmetric: P(2d6 = 5) = P(2d6 = 9)
- • 4d6 drop lowest: D&D ability scores. Average ~12.24 per stat
Did You Know?
Expert Tips
Dice vs Simulator
This calculator gives exact probabilities. A dice roller simulates rolls — use this for planning and analysis.
4d6 Drop Lowest
D&D ability scores use 4d6 drop lowest — we enumerate all 1296 outcomes to get exact probabilities.
Craps Quick Ref
Win on come-out: 7 or 11. Lose: 2, 3, 12. P(win) = 8/36 ≈ 22.2%, P(lose) = 4/36 ≈ 11.1%.
Modifier
Add +N or -N to shift the entire distribution. E.g. 2d6+3 has range 5–15, mean 10.
How It Works
1. Convolution
The probability distribution of a sum of dice is computed by convolving the distributions of each die. Start with P(0)=1, then fold in each die.
2. Favorable Outcomes
Count outcomes that match your target. For 2d6=7, there are 6 ways: (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1). P = 6/36 = 1/6.
3. Symmetry
For 2d6, P(sum=k) = P(sum=14-k). The distribution is symmetric around 7.
4. Central Limit Theorem
As you add more dice, the sum distribution approaches a normal (bell) curve. 3d6 is already quite bell-shaped.
Why Use This Calculator vs. Other Tools?
| Feature | This Calculator | Dice Roller | AnyDice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exact probability (not simulation) | ✅ | ❌ | ✅ |
| PMF + CDF charts | ✅ | ⚠️ Frequency only | ✅ |
| 4d6 drop lowest | ✅ | ✅ | ✅ |
| Copy & share results | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| AI-powered interpretation | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| Educational content | ✅ | ⚠️ Limited | ❌ |
| Odds for/against | ✅ | ❌ | ⚠️ Manual |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is P(2d6 = 7)?
6/36 = 1/6 ≈ 16.67%. There are 6 ways to roll 7: (1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1).
Why is 7 the most likely sum for 2d6?
7 has the most combinations (6). Sums 2 and 12 have only 1 combination each.
What is P(at least one 6 on 2d6)?
11/36 ≈ 30.6%. Count: (6,1),(6,2),...,(6,6) and (1,6),...,(5,6) — 11 outcomes. NOT 1/3.
How does 4d6 drop lowest work?
Roll 4d6, discard the lowest, sum the top 3. Used for D&D ability scores. Average ~12.24 per stat.
What are the odds of rolling 7 or 11 in Craps?
P(7)=6/36, P(11)=2/36. P(7 or 11) = 8/36 ≈ 22.2%.
Why do dice probabilities form a bell curve?
Central Limit Theorem: sums of many independent random variables approach a normal distribution.
How many outcomes does 5d6 have?
6^5 = 7,776 outcomes. The number grows exponentially with more dice.
What is the difference from Dice Average Calculator?
This calculator gives exact P(sum) for specific targets. Dice Average gives E(X), variance, and full distribution.
Dice Probability by the Numbers
Official Data Sources
Disclaimer: This calculator provides exact dice probabilities for educational and gaming reference. Different from a dice roller (which simulates rolls) and dice average (which computes expected values). For critical applications, verify results against established tools like AnyDice.
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