Coefficient of Determination Calculator (R-squared)
Free R-squared calculator. Compute R², adjusted R², RMSE, F-statistic from data, correlation, or sum
Why This Statistical Analysis Matters
Why: Statistical calculator for analysis.
How: Enter inputs and compute results.
Coefficient of Determination — How Much Variance Does Your Model Explain?
R², adjusted R², RMSE, F-statistic. From raw data, correlation, or sum of squares. Step-by-step breakdown with charts.
Real-World Scenarios — Click to Load
Input Mode
| x | y | |
|---|---|---|
Calculation Breakdown
R² Interpretation
Scatter with Regression Line
SS Decomposition (Explained vs Unexplained)
For educational and informational purposes only. Verify with a qualified professional.
Key Takeaways
- • R²: Proportion of variance in Y explained by the model. R² = 1 − SS_res/SS_tot = SS_reg/SS_tot.
- • Adjusted R²: Penalizes extra predictors. R²_adj = 1 − (1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1). Use when comparing models with different numbers of predictors.
- • From correlation: For simple linear regression, R² = r².
- • Interpretation: R² = 0.7 means 70% of variance in Y is explained by the model.
- • RMSE: √(SS_res/n). Root mean squared error — average prediction error magnitude.
- • F-statistic: (SS_reg/p)/(SS_res/(n−p−1)). Tests overall model significance.
Formulas Reference
R² = 1 − SS_res / SS_tot = SS_reg / SS_tot
SS_res = Σ(yᵢ − ŷᵢ)² (residual sum of squares)
SS_tot = Σ(yᵢ − ȳ)² (total sum of squares)
SS_reg = Σ(ŷᵢ − ȳ)² (regression sum of squares)
R²_adj = 1 − (1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
RMSE = √(SS_res / n)
F = (SS_reg / p) / (SS_res / (n−p−1))
Interpretation Guide
| R² | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| 0 | Model explains nothing |
| 0.1 - 0.3 | Weak fit |
| 0.3 - 0.7 | Moderate fit |
| 0.7 - 1.0 | Strong fit |
| 1 | Perfect fit |
When to Use Adjusted R²
R² always increases when you add predictors, even if they are useless. Adjusted R² penalizes model complexity. Use adjusted R² when comparing models with different numbers of predictors. If adjusted R² decreases when adding a predictor, that predictor may not improve the model.
Did You Know?
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the difference between R² and adjusted R²?
R² measures fit but increases with more predictors. Adjusted R² penalizes extra predictors and can decrease when adding irrelevant variables.
Can R² be negative?
Yes. R² = 1 − SS_res/SS_tot. If the model is worse than predicting the mean, SS_res > SS_tot, so R² < 0.
What does R² = 0.7 mean?
70% of the variance in Y is explained by the model. The remaining 30% is unexplained (residual) variance.
How do I get R² from correlation?
For simple linear regression, R² = r². So if r = 0.8, R² = 0.64.
What is the F-statistic in regression?
F tests whether the model explains significant variance. F = (SS_reg/p)/(SS_res/(n−p−1)). Large F suggests the model is useful.
When should I use RMSE vs R²?
R² is scale-free (0–1). RMSE is in the same units as Y — use it to interpret prediction error magnitude.
Step-by-Step: Compute R² from Data
Step 1: Fit the model (e.g., linear regression) to get predicted values ŷᵢ.
Step 2: Compute ȳ (mean of y). SS_tot = Σ(yᵢ − ȳ)².
Step 3: SS_res = Σ(yᵢ − ŷᵢ)².
Step 4: R² = 1 − SS_res/SS_tot.
Residuals and Model Fit
Residuals = observed y − predicted ŷ. A good fit has residuals scattered randomly around zero with no pattern. If residuals show a curve (e.g., U-shape), the relationship may be nonlinear. RMSE summarizes the average magnitude of residuals.
Official Data Sources
Disclaimer: This calculator is for educational purposes. R² does not indicate causation. For research, use established statistical software (R, Python, SAS, SPSS). Always check regression assumptions: linearity, homoscedasticity, independence, normality of residuals.
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